“House Update: Tiny Movement Toward Republicans”

A commentary posted on Rasmussen Reports by Larry J. Sabato and Kyle Kondik: 


At this very early point in the 2014 race for the U.S. House, small Republican gains — as in, less than five seats — look likelier than a similarly small gain for Democrats. That’s because the Republican targets just look a little better than the Democratic ones.   

While most of redistricting is complete and litigation has run its course, the piece identified judicial intervention in redistricting a “wild card”: 

Courts drawing different maps in Florida and Texas that allow Democrats to gain seats out of both places would be the electoral equivalent of divine intervention — a dose of which, having to do with redistricting or something else, is almost a requirement for the Democrats to have a real shot at taking the House next year.