Bold prediction. ELC doesn’t normally discuss political seat arithmetic or subtraction but this opinion by political expert Stuart Rothenberg is important in the context of recently competed congressional redistricting across the country and where party resources may be focused in a close senate and presidential race.
@Roll Call: Right now, the outlook for the House is anywhere from a small GOP gain
to a modest Democratic gain in the single digits — not close to what
Democrats hoped for as the cycle began.
…Given the current outlook, a Democratic gain of 10 to 12 House seats
would have to be regarded as an extremely good outcome for the party,
and a net GOP gain is not impossible. What does seem impossible, at
least at this point, is a Democratic takeover of the House in November.