FiveThirtyEightPolitics reports that all the convoluted explanations by Democrats that low turnout and different demographics in mid-terms is the cause of their current unfavorable position, do not hold up to scrutiny.

But turnout isn’t nearly as important as D.C. wags make it out to be. The demographics of who voted in 2012 vs. 2010 were different, but that difference didn’t make much of a difference. The reason Republicans won more votes in 2010 — and likely will in 2014 — is that voters wanted Republicans in office, not that minorities and young people didn’t turn out to vote.